2018 predictions

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prediction 2018

 

1) the interest rate will go up

It's time to make that investment.
interest rates will go up with +2% with the new FED chairman Jay Powell

(he's taller, so interest rates will go up :)

 

2) The EURO will appreciate in value compared to the USD
(1-3 year prediction)

with the change of leadership from the Italian Mario Draghi to a more German mentiality focussed ECB chairman.
It will end the period of free money and as you see on below curve, comparing the Deutsche Mark and Italian Lira. that the DEM was on a course of 2 against the dollar.

with a current rate of around 1.2  it will go up.
Mario Draghi is still on board till 31 October 2019
changes will probably initiate during 2019

3) value of US companies compared to worldwide is now at it's peak and will depreciate

as you can see on below graph, it's during the last democratic presidencies that US companies are more in favor internationally.
With the new Trump phenomina you will see that US companies equity will lower compared to other worldwide companies.

4) more engineers will launch quicker products in emerging countries

online buyers increase in emerging markets

 

 

 

 

 

Tags: 
F.A.Q. Varia